NFL

NFL Super Sunday building blocks

Welcome to the first building blocks post on Fanteam! The goal of the series is to provide you with weekly picks for your fantasy team in an easy to read format. Hopefully, everyone finds some type of value below. If you have any feedback regarding this post or the series, feel free to reach out to me on Twitter (@wiseguychrome) with comments and suggestions!

QB

In fantasy NFL, the QB is the base of your stack. Of course, you can stack an offense using other offensive positions, but if you pair your QB with the right RB/WR/TE, then both players can profit and get extra points from the same plays.

High-end: Jared Goff ($20.2M)

I’m expecting Jared Goff to be the sleeper high-end option this week after the Rams QB has been decent, but not overly dominant through the first three weeks of the season. Still, the Rams have scored at least 20 points in all their games so far, and Goff had at least 14.2 fantasy points in his last two outings. LA is also the most significant home favorite on the board this week hosting a Tampa Bay squad that is struggling against the pass. The Rams are still better than average at pass protection, and the Buccaneers don’t have the defense to play man coverage. Goff + Kupp might be the best QB-WR combo to field this week.

Pair with: Cooper Kupp WR ($15.8M) + Robert Woods WR ($15.7M)        

Low ownership: Matthew Stafford ($17.9M)

Cheap QB with cheap targets is the name of the game here. You have to love the floor of Stafford, who has posted at least 12.1 fantasy points this season. The Chiefs force an extremely high pace, yet their defense is only the 25th best in the league. Detroit is at home, and the Lions will have plenty of opportunities to put up points.

Pair with: Kerryon Johnson RB ($14.8M) + Kenny Golladay WR ($15.6M) + T.J. Hockenson TE ($8.8M)

Value: Daniel Jones ($16.9M)

Daniel Jones will be the flavor of the week after the Giants QB has delivered a W in last week’s season debut. Jones did look good  in the preseason, and he gets to face a Washington defense that is 28th in rush defense and 26th in pass coverage. I have Jones firmly in my top 10 this week, yet he is priced as the 15th most expensive QB in the player pool. Grab the value!

Pair with: Sterling Shepard WR ($14.3M) + Evan Engram TE ($15.4M) + Wayne Gallman RB ($12.1M)

Also consider: Matt Ryan ($18.9M), Russel Wilson ($20.1M)

Matt Ryan could be another sleeper this week, as the Atlanta QB has been super consistent, as he is averaging 20 fantasy points per game through three weeks. Ryan is at home, facing a fraudulent Tennessee team. My final recommendation would be Russel Wilson, who is coming off a monster 41.3-point fantasy point game, and is now facing one of the worst teams in the league in Arizona. The Cards are a fade candidate here, and Wilson should roll!

Fade: Lamar Jackson  ($21.5M)

Lamar Jackson is on the road this week, in a divisional matchup against a Cleveland team that is very overlooked by both the Vegas oddsmakers and the public. Do not pay the premium price for him!

RB

High-end: Christian McAffrey ($23.4M)

McAffrey is really in a league of his own, and with no other high-end RB options this week, he is your man if you want to spend up in this position! McAffrey already had a 42.9 point performance this year, and he is undoubtedly able to break any slate, especially as he will play every snap as the #1 RB of the team.

Low ownership: Kerryon Johnson  ($14.8M)

The Lions released veteran RB C.J. Anderson, and Kerryon Johnson is the player who will benefit the most from this change. Johnson is coming off a game with career-high carriers, and the Kansas City defense is dead last in the league when it comes to defending the run. I’m also expecting Johnson to be very low owned come Sunday.

Value: Marlon Mack ($14.7M)

Mack is leading the league in carries and gets to face an Oakland squad at as a 6.5 point home favorite. The Raiders are also a bottom five run-defense, and they are also ranked as the 32nd best defense in the league by PFF.

Also consider: Wayne Gallman ($12.1M)

With the injury to Saquon Barkley you can expect Wayne Gallman to get plenty of opportunities Sunday. Too bad he is not a very good player, but the price is right to throw a dart at a guy, who will likely play 80%+ of the snaps against a questionable defense.

Fade: Chris Carson  ($15.8M), Leonard Fournette  ($16.7M)

Chris Carson has looked way off so far this season, and he is coming off a 4.1 fantasy point game. The Seattle star also had three fumbles in three games so far. Leonard Fournette’s asking price is also surreal compared to the value you can get by picking Johnson or Mack over him. Fournette is also playing on the road in a tough environment in Denver. Fade him!

WR

High-end: Keenan Allen ($21.3M)

If you pay up in WR, then Keenan Allen is your man. The Chargers are two-touchdown favorites on the road in Miami and Allen is coming off a 43.6 point fantasy performance last season. He is also leading the league in expected fantasy points so far and will be the #1 offensive option for the Chargers on Sunday.

Low ownership: Paul Richardson ($9.5M)

Washington will be a highly owned offense as the Giants defense is bottom five in all defensive categories and the Redskins have shown that they can score against way better offenses than New York’s. #1 Washington wide receiver Terry McLaurin is on the injury report and might not play against the Giants (and even if he plays, he is probably not 100%), so we will pivot off to Paul Richardson, who had 22.3 fantasy points against a tough defense in the Bear and is way too cheap considering the matchup.

Value: Preston Williams  ($8.9M)

I know that most fantasy players prefer wide receivers from popular teams, but with at least 10 fantasy points in three straight games, Preston Williams is your perfect budget building block if you decided to pay up in other positions. If Miami scores, it will likely come through him.

Also consider: Tyler Lockett  ($15.7M), Sammy Watkins  ($16.8M), Cooper Kupp  ($15.8M) + Robert Woods ($15.7M)

Fade: DeAndre Hopkins ($19.8M)

Hopkins is priced #3 among wide receivers, but I don’t even project him in my top 5 this week. The Texans are facing a tough challenge in a Carolina squad that excels in defending against the pass.

TE

Tight end usually is not the position you want to double up on, but we have some great budget options this week. If you run out of funds, I could see drafting two TEs as a valid option on Sunday.

High-end: Delaine Walker ($10.9M)

Delaine Walker is only the fourth-highest priced tight end on the board despite facing a rookie safety this week in Atlanta. The Falcons also have one of the worst defenses in the league against tight ends, and they are also struggling with multiple injuries on the defensive end.

Low ownership: TJ Hockenson ($8.8M)

The Detroit youngster has been relatively quiet in the last two weeks, but Kansas City is allowing tons of points against the position and Stafford also prefers Hockenson as a target. After two duds, this might be the time to buy low!

Value: Will Dissly ($9.3M)

My absolute #1 option in tight end this week is Will Dissly. Dissly is coming off back to back great games against way better teams than Arizona, yet he is only priced as the 9th highest player in his position. The team has also traded Nick Vannett meaning way more snaps for Dissly. Arizona is the worst team in the league when it comes to fantasy points allowed against opposing tight ends. This and the improved workload is not factored into Dissly’s price.

Also consider: Darren Waller ($12.6M)

Fade: Mark Andrews ($11.4M)

Just like Lamar Jackson, I’m also going to fade Mark Andrews this week. On the road, in a divisional matchup against a team that should positively regress. You can do better than this!

DST

High-end: LA Chargers ($12.5M)

If you can fit them into your budget, the LA Chargers are the clear top option this week as the biggest Vegas favorite on the board. The Dolphins are dead last in all offensive categories, and the LA defense is overall pretty solid.

Low ownership: Buffalo Bills  ($8.9M)

Why would you play a DST against the Patriots? Exactly! The Bills are only allowing 4.8 defensive yards per play, and they are playing at home in a game that only has a 42.5 Vegas total (fourth lowest on the board). If you run out of money, the Bills are a decent contrarian play!

Value: Chicago Bears ($10.9M)

The Bears are home favorites at Soldier Field in a game with just a 38-point expected total. Chicago has a solid home-field advantage and I’d expect Kirk Cousins to struggle against a top-three defense on the road.

Also consider: Minnesota Vikings ($10.5M)

Same game, different side. If you decide to fade the Chicago offense, I cannot fault you. Besides last week’s offensive performance against Washington, the Bears have been underwhelming offensively, averaging only 4.6 yards per play. The Vikings are also a top DST option this week, and they are priced reasonably!

Fade: Baltimore Ravens ($11.0M)

See the writeup for Lamar Jackson and Mark Andrews.

@wiseguychrome

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