Welcome to another edition of NFL Super Sunday building blocks!
The chalk hit last week with the highest-priced players shining in most positions. The high-end once again looks inviting, but thankfully there are much better options in the mid- and budget-tiers this Sunday, so building a balanced lineup should be easier than usual. Let’s dive in! If you have any feedback regarding this post or the series, feel free to reach out to me on Twitter (@wiseguychrome) with comments and suggestions!
QBs & Stacks
High-end: Lamar Jackson (21.3M)
This is the perfect Lamar Jackson spot, in my opinion. Jackson comes in as the most significant road betting favorite against a Cincinnati squad that is allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing QBs. Marquise Brown, Baltimore’s number one WR is back, but he shouldn’t hurt Jackson’s rushing upside (as Lamar is only averaging 176 passing yards over his last four games), and I’d still expect him to use his feet a ton. We do love rushing QBs if we are paying up in this position, and you cannot do better than Lamar this week! Make sure to check his status heading into the game as Jackson was dealing with an illness throughout the week!
Pair with: Baltimore DST (11.6M)
Mid-tier: Drew Brees (18.5M)
Drew Brees returned on week eight with a bang against the Cardinals, and I’d expect an even better performance against the lowly Atlanta Falcons boasting the 27th ranked defense in the league. Brees has a similarly high floor to Jackson, in my opinion, and against this particular opponent, the ceiling should be extremely high as well. Just make sure to pair Michael Thomas with him for high-floor combo!
Pair with: Michael Thomas (21.7M)
Budget: Ryan Tannehill (15.7M)
Since he won the starting job, Ryan Tannehill is in the top five in the league in pass attempts, completions, passing yards, and TDs. This play is also supported by the fact that Pat Mahomes is expected to return for Kansas City, so it is fair to expect a high-scoring, fast-paced game where Tannehill will get more than enough opportunities to score. I’ve chosen some great budget options (WR2 & TE1) to go with him. This package will surely allow you to pay up in other positions!
Pair with: Corey Davis (10.6M) & Jonnu Smith (6.4M)
Also consider: Jameis Winston (19.2M)
Fade: Jared Goff (18.2M)
Goff is priced as QB8 on a slate where several arms have higher floors and a better upside than him. He is on the road, missing an important receiver in Brandin Cooks, and faces a Pittsburgh defense that has been sneaky good and is ranked 7th by PFF. Pass!
High-end: Christian McCaffrey (24.8M)
Christian McCaffrey has 60 more fantasy points than the second-best running back on this slate. McCaffrey also faces a Green Bay defense that is ranked 30th against the run by FootballOutsiders. You will need to make some budget cuts to be able to include him, but I think this is a CMC week!
Mid-tier: Marlon Mack (15.5M)
Marlon Mack is one of my favorite RB’s this week, and his price is too low considering the matchup. Mack faces a Miami defense that is 25th best against the rush and allows the third-highest expected points against run plays. Indianapolis will be without star WR Ty Hilton, which should further elevate Macks upside. If the Colts cannot go with Jacoby Brissett, it is fair to expect third-string QB Brian Hoyer to use Mack as his go-to handoff option. Monitor Brissett’s status, and if he is out, make sure to include Mack on your teams!
Budget: Devin Singletary (12.3M)
Devin Singletary officially won the RB1 job for the Bears last week. He has seen ten total targets through the previous two weeks and now gets to face a Cleveland defense that allows the seventh-most rushing yards and eight most fantasy points to opposing RBs. Buffalo’s offensive line should also have a massive advantage over the Cleveland D-line. Singletary at 12.3M is a steal!
Also consider: Derrick Henry (14.6M), David Montgomery (11.6M)
Fade: Saquon Barkley (20.6M)
Barqley has upside, but similarly to the also often-faded Alvin Kamara, his floor hasn’t been the greatest this season. This Jets – Giants derby also seems like one of the most challenging games to project, as we have no idea how these two squads will want to go about their business. It is better to fade the whole game, in my opinion, including Barkley, at a high price of 20.6M.
High-end: Mike Evans (18.4M)
Mike Evans has been lights-out these past three weeks, putting at least 20 fantasy points on the board. Evans also finished in the top three through this period in expected fantasy points added. He simply lives up to the hype, and the price tag at 18.4M is still not high enough, especially against a mediocre Arizona team. If you start multiple teams, make sure to also include Chris Godwin in at least one of them!
Mid-tier: Davane Adams (15.8M)
Davante Adams was slightly disappointing last week with only 41 yards, but he had 11 total targets (and caught 7 of them), while no other WR on Green Bay’s roster had more than four targets. The upside is enormous, and the price is still very fair. Carolina also allows the 8th mots points to opposing WRs, making this a decent matchup.
Budget: Golden Tate (12.6M)
No Evan Engram, no Sterling Shepard. Do I need to say more? With the injuries to Daniel Jones’s top targets, Tate will see a much needed increased volume this weekend. Additionally, the Jets rank 29th in the league against the pass. Tate is a must-draft this week!
High-end: Austin Hooper (13.0M)
No tight end is nearly as consistent this season as Austin Hooper. He was even shining with backup QB Matt Schaub, and Matt Ryan actually could be back this weekend. 13M might seem like a lot, but with great budget options at WR, you should be able to spend up in the TE position.
Mid-tier: Gerald Everett (9.4M)
Everett is a great mid-tier option in tight end this week. The Rams are coming off a bye and are road favorites against Pittsburgh with Brandin Cooks out with a concussion. I’d expect around 6-7 targets for Everett, who has been pretty decent at turning his targets into receptions and yards.
Budget: Mike Gesicki (8.3M)
Mike Gesicki had 95 yards this last Sunday, as Ryan Fitzpatrick seems to like targeting the youngster. With Prestin Williams out for the season, the target share should go up slightly for Gesicki, who has seen 19 targets and has 197 total yards over the last four weeks. Tight end is a difficult position to find value at, and I’d certainly look at him at 8.3M.
Also consider: Jack Doyle (9.8M)
High-end 1: Baltimore (11.6M)
Once again, we have two decent high-end options with the Ravens going up against a Cincinnati squad that ranks the fifth-worst in sacks per game and seventh-worst in fantasy points allowed. The Bengals are starting Ryan Finley at QB, who has been pretty vocal about how nervous he is in front of this start. I think a pick-six is in the book for this DST.
High-end 2: Indianapolis (11.4M)
Indianapolis won the lottery this week as the Colts face a Dolphins squad that is still ranking as the worst offense in the league while giving up the second-most fantasy points against opposing offenses. You rarely get a floor when it comes to DST, but the Colts this week are a tremendous high-floor option.
Budget: Miami (9.1M)
The thing is Indianapolis isn’t built to blow out teams. The Colts have five wins by a combined 20 points. Their games are always extremely close. QB Jacoby Brissett was limited in practice, and the Colts might go with third-string QB Brian Hoye. Indianapolis will also be without star WR Ty Hilton, and the game has a pretty low total at 44. If you run out of money, Miami is a decent budget option this weekend. I can see them keeping this total under the projection.