Football

Monster Preview for the “German €50K Monster” 23.05 – 24.05 [€7500 1st place]

The Bundesliga is preparing their 2nd match day after the corona break

On Saturday there will be again a huge 50.000€ GTD tournament at Fanteam.com, called the “German Monster”.

1st Place will win incredible 7500€ and the buy-in is only 20€ for each team!

In this huge preview i want to dive into a deep analysis for this 50.000€ tournament and i want to share my opinion of the most interesting teams and players based on various statistics.

But now let us begin, i hope you enjoy my article.

Overview

First of all let’s have a look at all 8 matches of this tournament:

4 of the 8 matches are starting on Saturday at the same time. This is important for us, because it means, we can check the lineups of 8 teams, before the tournament is starting.

Now let’s have a deeper look for all 16 teams of this weekend:

Munich, Leipzig and Dortmund are the clearest favourites for this weekend again, which is no surprise when you look at the table of the Bundesliga.

Cologne is again a favourite, this time also Gelsenkirchen has a 48% chance to win at home.

Frankfurt is in trouble, as they have to play in the Allianz Arena of Munich.

You can see the Bundesliga is a high scoring league, only 3 teams have a probability of less than 70% to score (same as last matchday). 9/16 teams even have a chance of above 80% to score.

This is important to notice. The German Bundesliga is very rich in goals:

3,25 goals per match is a huge value, especially compared to other big leagues in Europe.

That’s why i think you should never choose 5 defenders for your team, rather search for offensive players.

Now it’s time to look at the players, and not only at the teams.

First of all we look at the defensive, then we look at the offensive.

Fanteam price means the average price for the expected line ups.

Defensive

This weekend i have marked 5 teams as interesting.

Gelsenkirchen offers a very high clean sheet chance for a very fair price of 8.5M on average.

Freiburg and Hoffenheim are interesting in the midfield with a 25% and a 23% chance of keeping a clean sheet.

2 very cheap options seem to be Augsburg and Dusseldorf.

Leipzig and Dortmund are looking rather expensive.

Offensive

Munich is expensive but worth it, 63% is a very high value for scoring at least 3 goals.

Compared to that Leipzig just looks “okay”, while Dortmund looks expensive again.

Hoffenheim is very cheap below 10.0M on average and a solid 26% chance to score at least 3 goals..

Paderborn looks like a good filler for only 7.6M on average and still has a 17% chance to score 3 goals.

Players

Now i want to introduce you some interesting players for this tournament.

A. Schwolow (Freiburg / 8.1M) GK

The goalkeeper of Freiburg is my choice here.

Freiburg has a high chance of 25% for a clean sheet and Schwolow is a good goalkeeper.

In addition, Freiburg only conceded 14 goals in 12 home matches so far.

C. Günther (Freiburg / 7.8M) DEF

And it goes straight on with Freiburg.

Günther is playing as left-back for Freiburg and is very strong in the offensive, too.

He already scored 2 goals and 7 assists in this season.

For only 7.8M he looks like a perfect choice for me for this tournament.

Alternative would be right-back J. Schmid (7.9M), who already scored 4 goals and 1 assist in this season for Freiburg.

B. Oczipka (Gelsenkirchen / 8.7M) DEF

Left-back Oczipka is my next choice here.

He already scored 5 assists so far in this season, Gelsenkirchen also has a high chance for a clean sheet (31%).

Another great thing is, that he played all 26 matches for Gelsenkirchen so far in this Bundesliga season, and he was never substituted. 

The alternative is the right-back of Gelsenkirchen, J. Kenny (8.6M), he already scored 1 goal and 3 assists.

R. Skov (Hoffenheim / 8.1M) DEF

Skov has to be mentioned here again, as he was already last weekend.

He is listed as a DEF, but it looks like he will play right winger again.

Skov already scored 3 goals and 4 assists in this season, and Hoffenheim has a solid chance for a clean sheet, too.

That’s why i think Skov is a great choice for your teams.

K. Havertz (Leverkusen / 9.9M) MID

Nearly a boring pick, but i have to mention Kai Havertz here for a price below 10.0M.

It is expected that he is starting again as “false 9” which is great for us, as he is listed as MID.

Havertz is in great shape, in the last 5 matches of the Bundesliga Havertz scored in every single match.

He scored 1 goal against Union Berlin, 1 assist against Augsburg and Leipzig, 1 goal and 1 assist against Frankfurt and 2 goals against Bremen.

Leverkusen also has a solid chance of 22% to score at least 3 goals.

K. Coman (Munich / 11.8M) MID

Last weekend the risk to choose Coman did not pay out, as he did not start against Union.

But there is no way to fade Coman because of that for this weekend.

Munich did not play well with Goretzka as a “playmaker” behind Lewandowski, i think Coman will now get the chance to start as left winger.

I know it is a risk, but with Munich having a 63% chance of scoring at least 3 goals against Frankfurt at home i have to take it.

You might could choose Perisic or Goretzka because of the safety net, it is very unlikely both Goretzka (or Perisic) AND Coman will be in the starting lineup.

Media writes, that it is just a battle between Goretzka and Coman.

M. Dabbur (Hoffenheim / 9.2M) FOR

Dabbur was supposed to play as centre forward last weekend, but he became a father and was therefore not in the Hoffenheim squad. Since Hoffenheim played without a centre forward against Hertha and did not have much penetrating power, Dabbur is now eagerly awaited back. 

Paderborn had already conceded 31 goals at home in 13 games. 

The last 4 home games Paderborn also lost in a row. 

Hoffenheim with 26% has a good chance to score at least 3 goals and therefore Dabbur is in my opinion a good choice for 9.2M. 

Since you will see the starting eleven from Hoffenheim before the tournament starts, you can make sure, that Dabbur really is in the starting lineup for Hoffenheim against Paderborn.

T. Müller (Munich / 13.7M) FOR

There are not much words needed for Müller, he scored the most assists (16) so far in this season and he also scored 6 more goals.

But let’s have a look, why i really think Müller is a great choice here at home against Eintracht Frankfurt:

This table shows us, how popular Munich players have been in the German Monster tournament at Fanteam of the last weekend, where Munich played against Union Berlin.

You could find Lewandowski in 33 of 100 teams, Gnabry in 18 of 100 teams, but Müller in only 6 of 100 teams (same as Coman, but Müller is a safe starter for coach Hansi Flick).

Yes, Lewandowski is likely to score more points than Müller on average, but when Müller has a good day, and the chances are not that bad against Frankfurt at home, you will get a good result with Müller as your captain.

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