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Monster Preview for the German 50k Monster (6.6 – 7.6.)

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On Saturday, Fanteam will host the next major Bundesliga tournament.

Like every weekend, 50000€ are guaranteed, the winner gets 7500€ and the buy-in is only 20€ per team you send into the tournament.

But now without further words directly into the preview, have fun.

Pursuit

The tournament this Weekend will be played in Pursuit format. This means that there will be no budget problems, but at the end of the tournament you will receive bonus points the more budget you have left.

More precisely, there is half a point for every 1 million in budget that is left at the end.

So it can be worthwhile if you attach special importance to value for your money, while building your teams.

Overview

As we can see, in this tournament for the 30th matchday of the Bundesliga there are 8 games with 16 teams, only the match Freiburg against Gladbach is not included, as it is already on Friday.

From 4 games we can see the starting line-ups in time before the tournament starts, which can be a nice advantage.

Now let’s have a deeper look at all 16 teams of this tournament:

Also on this matchday we have the usual picture, Munich, Dortmund Leipzig are the clear favourites. But it’s rare that Leipzig is the absolute top favourite, because Munich has a supposedly difficult away match in Leverkusen and Dortmund has to play against a resurgent team of Hertha.

From 32-48% probability of victory there is a big midfield, the 3 opponents of the top 3 in the league are of course the biggest underdogs.

Now it’s time to look at the players, and not only at the teams.

First of all we look at the defensive, then we look at the offensive.

Fanteam price means the average price for the expected line ups.

Defensive

In defence, I see by far the greatest value in Wolfsburg and Union Berlin. Their average price at Fanteam and the probability of not conceding a goal are terrific.

Munich on the other hand is a disaster with 10.0M and an even smaller probability.

With the teams in the 21% to 25% range there are also some interesting ones, Hoffenheim is especially through Skov so “expensive” with 8.1M, Augsburg with 6.8M and Bremen with 6.3M seem to make a lot of sense through Pursuit. But also Cologne, Düsseldorf and Gelsenkirchen have very fair average prices.

Offensive

In the offensive Munich gives a totally different picture and is a good choice compared to Leipzig and Dortmund with 13.9M, with almost 50% probability to score at least 3 goals.

Below the top 3 it is probably a matter of taste whether Frankfurt is more convincing or the pursuers in the range of 16% – 21%.

Especially Mainz might be interesting with a cheap average of 8.1M in the offensive.

Players

Now i want to introduce you some interesting players for this tournament.

K. Casteels (Wolfsburg / 7.8M) GK

There is a lot to be said for the Wolfsburg goalkeeper, for one thing only Leipzig and Dortmund have a higher probability of not conceding a goal.

On the other hand Casteels is very cheap with 7.8M.

Moreover, Wolfsburg has only conceded 36 goals, opponent Bremen has only scored 30 goals, no team in the league has scored fewer goals.

The first alternative for me would be the goalkeeper of Union Berlin, R. Gikiewicz (7.7M).

C. Trimmel (U Berlin / 8.5M) DEF

It doesn’t get much better: An offensive strong defender in a team, which has a high clean sheet probability of 29% for only 8.5M.

Trimmel is with 9 assists scored one of the best assist scorer of the whole Bundesliga and here in the defense my choice.

The first alternative for me in the defense would be K. Mbabu (7.6M) of Wolfsburg.

W. Weghorst (U Berlin / 10.1M) FOR

Weghorst is for me a good choice this weekend for the offensive.

He’s one of the Bundesliga’s most unerring centre-forwards and will now meet the team with the most goals conceded in the league.

Bremen lost 3-0 at home on Wednesday and their positive trend could be over.

For 10.1M, Weghorst is also a good value for money for me.

R. Lewandowski (Munich / 14.5M) FOR

On a weekend like this, a good ranking in the tournament on Fanteam is often dependent on how the best strikers in the league have performed.

By that I mean especially Haaland/Sancho, Werner and Lewandowski.

For me, Lewandowski is by far the best choice here, here’s a reason for that:

Werner has the same probability to score a goal this matchday as Lewandowski, but Werner costs much more with 17.0M.

Schick could be an interesting alternative, as almost all focus will probably be on Werner at Leipzig, but he is also more expensive than Lewandowski, despite a 14% lower probability to score a goal.

Dortmund is especially tricky, because we don’t see the lineup against Hertha.

It is currently completely uncertain whether Haaland will play or not. 

But no matter if he plays or not, I see both Haaland and Sancho clearly behind Lewandowski.

Not only because both have a lower probability to score a goal and both are more expensive than Lewandowski.

Even if you take Sancho and Haaland is playing, Sancho probably won’t have quite as many goal finishes, as Haaland will rather have them as a centre forward.

If Haaland plays, he will probably never play 90 minutes coming from an injury. 

If Haaland doesn’t play, you probably won’t have a substitute through the Safety Net.

That’s why Lewandowski is my first choice in the offensive on this matchday as well.

It’s not without a reason, that he tops the scoring charts of the Bundesliga with an incredible 29 goals in just 27 matches.

Of course it’s one of the more demanding Bundesliga matches for Munich away at Leverkusen, but Leverkusen’s defence is far from being extremely stable and Munich is in top form.

Also the chances of the bookmakers do not lie, no player has a higher probability to score a goal this matchday than Lewandowski, and Munich also has an almost 50% probability to score at least 3 goals and then Lewandowski will probably be there.

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