Our weekly Statistical Analysis articles are back with a Mega-update for GW18-19. In this article, we will present the key facts and statistics of the Fanteam 1M PL Season game from the 21 games played in these two intense gameweeks!
Gameweeks 18-19: Team scores
Looking at both Gameweeks together, this sequence must have been the most influential for the contest so far. We saw a very wide variance in scores in GW18 due to many teams having inactive players and no wildcards, and an even wider in GW19 due to the many double games and surprising results!
Gameweek 18 scores
Definitely the lowest average score we’ve seen so far. But with almost half of the Premier League teams having a blank Gameweek, this was anticipated. We saw teams who had saved their Wildcards scoring double or triple the points of their non-wildcard peers, and generally a very wide distribution of scores.
- Best team of Gameweek 18: 71 points
- Average Score of Gameweek 18: 33.5 points
- Top 10% threshold for Gameweek 18: 49.5 points
- Top 25% threshold for Gameweek 18: 42 points
Gameweek 19 scores
This Gameweek was by far the highest-scoring one of the season, as expected. Most of the teams played 2 matches, resulting in huge scores and even higher differences among the teams that went well and the ones that didn’t. The average score touched the 90p mark, which is 2.5 times more than the average of GW18!
Here are some key numbers about the graph above:
- Best team of Gameweek 19: 151 points
- Average Score of Gameweek 19: 89.9 points
- Top 10% threshold for Gameweek 19: 114 points
- Top 25% threshold for Gameweek 19: 105 points
Gameweek 18-19: Top players
Let’s see below how some key players performed this week. The X-axis on the chart visualizes the player’s price, while on the Y-axis the points scored on Gameweek 18 and 19. The size of the bubble shows how popular each player is. The top-left quadrant is where the best picks of the week lie (cheap and high-scoring), while on the bottom-right we find the underachievers (expensive and low-scoring).
Naturally, in GW19 we saw many players scoring double-digit points. However, the superstars were quite “slow”, with only Sterling scoring in double digits. We had, however, many players having some insane performances with much lower ownership percentages, leading some teams to a huge boost in the standings.
Top fantasy scorers for Gameweek 18
- Paul Pogba (6.8M – MID): 10 Fantasy Points – 173 teams (0.69%)
- Phil Foden (7.6M – MID): 9 Fantasy Points – 1.020 teams (4.06%)
- Alex Iwobi (5.3M – MID): 9 Fantasy Points – 33 teams (0.13%)
- Michael Keane (5.1M – DEF): 9 Fantasy Points – 1.230 teams (4.9%)
- Aaron Ramsdale (4.5M – GK): 8.5 Fantasy Points – 358 teams (1.43%)
Top fantasy scorers for Gameweek 19
- John Stones (5.2M – DEF): 26 Fantasy Points – 1.378 teams (5.49%)
- Matheus Pereira (6.0M – MID): 20 Fantasy Points – 127 teams (0.51%)
- Ilkay Gundogan (5.8M – MID): 19 Fantasy Points – 2.840 teams (11.31%)
- Kasper Schmeichel (5.1M – GK): 18 Fantasy Points – 2.018 teams (8.04%)
- James Maddison (7.7M – MID): 18 Fantasy Points – 1.032 teams (4.11%)
- Harvey Barnes (7.6M – MID): 18 Fantasy Points – 703 (2.8%)
Gameweek 18-19: How teams lined up
Kevin De Bruyne dominated the captain picks of both weeks, and managers will definitely miss him while he’s injured… More than ⅓ of the teams relied on him in the big GWs, with Salah and Sterling following up in a distance.
In the end, the captain picks didn’t matter for most of our managers, as no one of them managed to do a standout performance, and they all stayed close to each other as we saw on the top players comparison earlier.
Top transfers before Gameweek 18 and 19
In a season-long game like this, one of the biggest factors of each team is the transfers they make and which players are bought or sold over the season.
Below we have listed the 5 most popular purchases and sells for the two weeks:
Most Purchased Players before Gameweek 18
- Kevin De Bruyne (11.9M – MID): 3.094 teams (12.33%)
- Marcus Rashford (10.3M – FWD): 2.672 teams (10.64%)
- Joao Cancelo (5.1M – DEF): 2.316 teams (9.23%)
- Kieran Tierney (4.8M – DEF): 2.173 teams (8.66%)
- Ruben Dias (5.2M – DEF): 2.135 teams (8.51%)
Most Sold Players before Gameweek 18
- Mohamed Salah (12.2M – MID): 5.192 teams (20.68%)
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin (8.3M – FWD): 3.636 teams (14.48%)
- Jack Grealish (7.2M – MID): 3.626 teams (14.45%)
- Andrew Robertson (6.7M – DEF): 2.072 teams (8.25%)
- Kurt Zouma (5.1M – DEF): 1.690 teams (6.73%)
Most Purchased Players before Gameweek 19
- Michail Antonio (6.0M – FWD): 4.266 teams (16.99%)
- Mohamed Salah (12.2M – MID): 3.085 (12.29%)
- Tomas Soucek (5.1M – MID): 2.171 (8.65%)
- Jamie Vardy (10.8M – FWD): 1.800 (7.17%)
- Vladimir Coufal (4.7M – DEF): 1341 (5.34%)
Most Sold Players before Gameweek 19
- Heung-Min Son (10.6M – MID): 3.075 teams (12.25%)
- Harry Kane (11.5M – FWD): 2690 teams (10.72%)
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin (8.3M – FWD): 1.377 teams (5.49%)
- Wilfried Zaha (7.0M – MID): 1.198 teams (4.77%)
- Alexandre Lacazette (8.1M – FWD): 1.154 (4.6%)
Transfers overview for Gameweek 18 and 19
Another important part of the game’s strategy is how managers spend their transfers. Choosing to pay a -4p penalty to change a player is a risky move, but is often important to tackle the matchups or save up enough funds for a key transfer.
These were definitely the most unique GWs we’ve experienced so far. Most of the teams had to pay a transfer penalty, many used their wildcards, and many stayed probably inactive making 0 transfers.
Wildcards are used to “reset” your team, allowing unlimited transfers to be made for a single Gameweek. Each team has two wildcards available, one in the first half of the season, and one for the second half.
GW19 was the last Gameweek that the first wildcard could be used, so let’s see how it played out:
During the last few Gameweeks, we were seeing that 30-35% of the teams had a wildcard still available. We were arguing then that they probably kept it for the two big Gameweeks coming at 18-19. This hypothesis came out true, as 10% and 18% used their wildcards over the final two GWs, increasing the total to more than 95% of the teams having used their first-round Wildcards!
Wrapping up: Standings after Gameweek 19
Below you will see a distribution of the team standings so far. For charting purposes, we’ve hidden the very low scores (below 750p) that represent ~1.1% of the sample.
These two Gameweeks finally changed the landscape considerably! More and more teams are left behind, and the gap from the money spots becomes higher than ever.
Many teams are already dropping out, staying inactive for multiple weeks and losing ground at a very fast pace, which is only natural considering that the season is very long and only the top 25% of the teams will get paid in the end.
- 443 teams (~1.8%) are above 1,250 points
- The top 3 teams are only 3 points apart, for a €140k difference (1,363.5 – 1,360.5)
- 11,111 teams are between 1,050-1,170 points (~44%)
- Around 25% of the teams are now below 1,000 points in total, more than 150p away from the paid spots
- The average total score across the competition now stands at 1,064 points
Looking ahead for the second half – Most Owned Players after GW19
- Illan Meslier (4.4M – Leeds): 10.079 teams (40.15%)
- Emiliano Martinez (4.5M – Aston Villa): 6.720 teams (26.77%)
- Karl Darlow (4.4M – Newcastle): 4.534 teams (18.06%)
- Jordan Pickford (4.5M – Everton): 3.385 teams (13.48%)
- Hugo Lloris (5.1M – Spurs): 2.995 teams (11.93%)
- Ruben Dias (5.2M – Manchester City): 11.896 teams (47.39%)
- Joao Cancelo (5.2M – Manchester City): 10.030 teams (39.96%)
- Kurt Zouma (5.0M – Chelsea): 7.944 teams (31.65%)
- Andrew Robertson (6.8M – Liverpool): 5.760 teams (22.95%)
- Ben Chilwell (5.5M – Chelsea): 5.582 teams (22.24%)
- Bruno Fernandes (11.4M – Manchester United): 15.148 (60.35%)
- Kevin De Bruyne (12.0M – Manchester City): 13.541 (53.94%)
- Tomas Soucek (5.1M – West Ham): 11.647 (46.4%)
- Mohamed Salah (12.3M – Liverpool): 9.702 (38.65%)
- Jack Grealish (7.1M – Aston Villa): 8.741 (34.82%)
- Patrick Bamford (7.1M – Leeds): 10.317 teams (41.1%)
- Harry Kane (11.4M – Spurs): 8.196 teams (32.65%)
- Michail Antonio (6.0M – West Ham): 6.809 teams (24.36%)
- Ollie Watkins (6.3M – Aston Villa): 6.116 teams (24.36%)
I hope you enjoyed the 1M PL Season game – GW16 Statistical Analysis! If you enjoy statistics and want to find even more insights, read Fanteam 1M PL Season game – Weekly Statistical analysis – The road so far (GW8)
Pick’em Jackpot – go for the big payday!
The concept of Pick’em Jackpot is easy as it can get: Pick as many correct outcomes as possible from the coupon that usually contains 13 matches and 1 jackpot match. You will collect money prizes if you predict the correct outcome of 10, 11, 12 or 13 matches. If you predict the correct scoreline in the jackpot match in addition to having predicted all 13 outcomes correctly, you win the jackpot!