WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP FINAL THOUGHTS BY JACK HUMPHREY
This week’s PGA Tour heads to TPC Potomac for the Wells Fargo Championship. Normally held at Quail Hollow Country Club, the tournament has been moved to make way for the Presidents cup later in the year.
TPC Potomac seems an easy course at first glance but the length on this par 70 is very deceiving. The golfers that have played the Quicken Loans tournament at this golf course all mention one thing “Patience” that’s because of the narrow fairways, small greens and bunkers that have a Scottish links vibe about them.
This course will offer a true test for the 156 man field that is headlined by Rory McIlroy along with 15 of the world’s top 50.
More information can be found on our Wells Fargo Championship preview by CLICKING HERE
FanTeam Wells Fargo contests start 5th May 11.50am BST.
This week’s Main Event contest features two buy-ins, €2 and €12. The difference in the contests is of course the prize pool at stake. In the low entry, the prize pool sits at €1,500. A massive €5,000 is up for grabs in the high entry, with €1,000 awarded to first place!
Satellite contests will run side by side with the Wells Fargo Main Event contest and users can win up to 75 seats to the PGA Championship monster in 3 weeks. Buy- in is set at €3 per entry for the satellite contest.
Standard FanTeam golf fantasy scoring applies.
The great thing about FanTeam as a platform is I can play daily fantasy contests, player matchups and make my sportsbook bets all in the same place.
STATS I’M LOOKING AT
All stats in my model are based on the last 24 rounds.
- Strokes gained off the tee – The rough is a real problem around this golf course so accuracy is key. TPC Potomac ranked 2nd out of 37 PGA Tour golf courses in average difference of score from rough locations drives vs. drives in the fairway. This confirms the importance of driving accuracy.
- Strokes gained on approach – Over two thirds of all approach shots will come from over 150 yards this week. TPC Potomac is definitely a middle to long iron course and with the small greens approach will have to be on point.
- Strokes gained around the green – Short game certainly matters at TPC Potomac. Players will miss greens frequently, and this course possesses the 5th hardest bunkers on Tour. Golfers will most certainly have to be hot with their short game this week.
- Strokes gained putting – This is a stat that I don’t tend to look at as it can be very hit or miss, however during 2017 and 2018, 29.0% of strokes gained at TPC Potomac come through putting, so it’s worth weighting into our models this week.
- Bogey avoidance – At the 2018 Quicken loans the top 23 players gained in bogey avoidance compared to the field and it was a similar story in 2017 with 15 of the top 20 players gaining in bogey avoidance. Scoring conditions look tough this week so bogey avoidance is on my radar.
TOP 20 PLAYERS IN MY MODEL
Cameron Young, Rory McIlroy, Gary Woodland, Corey Conners, Keegan Bradley, Keith Mitchell, Luke List, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Sepp Straka, C.T. Pan, Max Homa, Brian Harman, Si Woo Kim, Russell Henley, Martin Laird, Kevin Streelman, Marc Leishman, Matthew NeSmith, Doug Ghim and Jhonattan Vegas.
Although I will be entering multi entries, this is one of my lineups for the Wells Fargo Championship contest on FanTeam.
As you can see my selections are based on players within my player pool this week.
Keegan Bradley – In his last 4 outings Keegan Bradley has 3 top 12 finishes with one missed cut, which came at the Valspar. Bradley has gained strokes on approach and off the tee in nearly every tournament he has played this year so comes with good form. He was tied 5th at this golf course for the 2017 quicken loans tournament, so knows this place well.
Max Homa – A former winner of this event albeit at Quail Hollow Max Homa has had a really good season so far and has just missed one cut. Homa comes here well rested after taking 3 weeks off after his tied 48th at the Masters. Before that tournament he had posted 5 top 17 performances across 6 starts. Homa has been gaining strokes across the board over the last 24 rounds and ranks 11th within my model this week.
Si Woo Kim – Many think of Si Woo to be a very volatile player. What I mean by this is he will make a cut then miss one. That has not been the case this year with the only cut he has missed being at the weather affected Players Championship. Kim has gained strokes off the tee in ten straight events and most recently at the RBC Heritage he gained 3.1 on approach and 5.2 tee to green. Kim ranks 13th within my model this week and is a very easy play for me based on what I’ve seen.
Cameron Young – What I really like from Cameron Young at the moment is he is proving that his golf game suits any golf course. This has shown with a runner-up finish at Riviera and a tied 3rd performance at Harbour Town, 2 completely different golf courses. Young ranks first in my model this week and is first over the last 24 rounds with strokes gained off the tee. There’s not much not to like from a golfer who has 5 top 20 finishes in his last 9 starts.
Keith Mitchell – Mitchell has been one of the most underrated players on tour this season. He comes here this week with 5 top15 performances in his last 7 starts. Mitchell has good course history at this course with a 8th place finish in 2018 and a 3rd place finish in 2017 at the Quicken Loans. Mitchell ranks 6th in my model this week and is gaining strokes across the board, he has been on a roll as of late and I think we could see him get his first PGA Tour win since 2019 if that form continues this week.
Sepp Straka – This big Austrian is a cut making machine! Since the start of the 2022 season Straka has missed just one cut and picked up his maiden PGA Tour victory at the Honda Classic. Straka ranks 9th within my model this week and is gaining strokes almost everywhere. What stands out is the putting, he ranks 7th over the last 24 rounds in this field. He is on a heater right now and I think we should continue to ride it.
FanTeam Wells Fargo Main Event Contests can be found by CLICKING HERE
What are player matchups?
Player matchups is an exciting FanTeam game that enables players to bet on between 3 and 10, designated 1 – vs – 1 fantasy matchups, with the potential to win up to 500X your stake.
Player matchups essentially act as a fantasy football accumulator, in which the payout increases the more matchups the user bets on. The great thing with FanTeam player matchups is that you are betting against the house rather than thousands of other players.
If you want more info on how player matchups work, please CLICK HERE.
Why do I like player matchups?
The reason I love player matchups aside from the obvious cash rewards is just the fact it’s a simple way to apply my fantasy knowledge without the need to build or manage a fantasy roster.
The simplicity of matchups means all I have to assess is how well I think certain players/teams will perform that week and just bet on the guys/teams I like, rather than managing transfers/rosters etc
WELLS FARGO CHAMPIONSHIP PLAYER MATCHUPS
CAMERON DAVIS VS MARTIN LAIRD
Selection: Martin Laird
This is an easy selection to start this week. Martin Laird ranks 15th within my model this week compared to Cameron Davis who ranks 42nd. Laird is gaining strokes across the board except on putting which can be a volatile stat at the best of times. We have seen guys get hot with the putter from week to week and Laird could cause some fireworks if he does this week.
LUCAS GLOVER VS STEWART CINK
Selection: Lucas Glover
Lucas Glover will hope to make it 4 straight cuts made this week, his opponent in this player matchup Stewart Cink has been poor this season and has missed 5 cuts from 8 events played. Glover ranks 46th within my model with Cink ranking 118th! The only place that Glover is losing strokes to the field is on the greens and as mentioned we know that is a volatile stat at the best of times. With this in mind and Cink missing a ton of cuts give me the guy that should play the weekend in Glover.
AUSTIN SMOTHERMAN VS SUNG-HOON KANG
Selection: Austin Smotherman
Austin Smotherman should find this course easier going this week over a tough Mexico Open course. He ranks 41st within my model but what really stands out is he is 7th in strokes gained on approach over the last 24 rounds within this field. His opponent Kang does have excellent course history here having won on the Korn Ferry Tour around this palace however, he ranks 146th in my model and is losing strokes across the board to the field. With all this in mind and Smotherman gaining strokes on approach at will this is an easy selection for me this week.
A £10 player matchups bet on these 3 selections will return £60 if it should land.
The Player Matchups lobby can be found by CLICKING HERE
FANTEAM SPORTSBOOK BET
Max Homa Top 5 – 9/1- Homa could very well win this tournament this week. He has excelled in approach play this year and is 8th over his last 40 rounds in this field on strokes gained on approach. He is above average with the driver and if he can get hot with the putter he should comfortably finish inside the top 5 from this field this week.
A £10 bet would return £100 should it land.
Cameron Young Top 5 -9/1 – As mentioned Young is the number one player from my model this week so this seemed like a logical bet. He is dialed in with his irons at the moment and is on the verge of a PGA Tour win. The iron form should see him cause some ripples this week and I can certainly see him gaining another top 5 finish.
A £10 bet would return £100 should it land.
The Sportsbook lobby can be found by CLICKING HERE.
I hope this article has given you plenty of food for thought – especially for those of you that know very little about Golf, but are playing in the Wells Fargo contests.
HOW TO GET INVOLVED
Existing users can click the graphic below for direct access to the game lobby.
Best of luck to everyone entering – I look forward to seeing your usernames on the Leaderboard.