Golf

FANTEAM DAILY FANTASY GOLF – AT&T BYRON NELSON TEAM REVEAL, PLAYER MATCHUPS AND SPORTSBOOK BETS

AT&T BYRON NELSON FINAL THOUGHTS BY JACK HUMPHREY

This week’s PGA Tour heads to TPC Craig Ranch for the AT&T Byron Nelson. A long standing event on the PGA Tour this is the second year it will be played at this golf course having been played at Trinity Forest Golf Club before.

TPC Craig Ranch will see a return to very low scoring this week with this course ranking third easiest on tour last season albeit in wet conditions. TPC Craig Ranch bears a lot in common with what we saw in Mexico, for the Mexico Open. It is fairly wide open off the tee with large greens.

This course will offer up a birdie fest and is a nice easy warm up for next week’s PGA Championship. The 156 man field is headlined by world number one Scottie Scheffler along with 8 of the world’s top 20. 

More information can be found on our AT&T Byron Nelson preview by CLICKING HERE

FanTeam AT&T Byron Nelson contests start 12th May 12.50pm BST.

This week’s Main Event contest features two buy-ins, €2 and €12. The difference in the contests is of course the prize pool at stake. In the low entry, the prize pool sits at €1,500. A massive €5,000 is up for grabs in the high entry, with €1,000 awarded to first place!

Satellite contests will run side by side with the Wells Fargo Main Event contest and users can win up to 75 seats to the PGA Championship monster next week. Buy- in is set at €3 per entry for the satellite contest.

Standard FanTeam golf fantasy scoring applies.

The great thing about FanTeam as a platform is I can play daily fantasy contests, player matchups and make my sportsbook bets all in the same place.

STATS I’M LOOKING AT 

All stats in my model are based on the last 24 rounds and are set to Bent Grass for this week.

  • Strokes gained off the tee (Driving Distance) – TPC Craig Ranch features the sixth widest fairways on Tour, so I will not be looking at driving accuracy this week. Distance off the tee will certainly be helpful tough, with the bombers having a sizeable advantage over the field so its worth weighting this into models this week.

  • Strokes gained on approach – A whopping 34.5% of approach shots came from 200 yards out in 2021. I would expect that number to be lower this year, as the fairways were extremely soft and there was little roll out but with the potential of a birdie fest the players this week will have to be dialed in with the irons as they look to stick it in close. 

  • Strokes gained putting – This is a stat that I don’t tend to look at as it can be very hit or miss, however this tournament has the potential to turn into a putting contest (sorry Jon Rahm). With this in mind I have a fairly heavy weight on Bent-grass putting. Not because putting is difficult here, but because you need to putt really well to have any shot of winning.

  • Birdies or better – Obviously, birdies or better needs no explanation. The player that makes the most birdies relative to the field this week will probably end up winning. With excellent scoring conditions again and 6 players last year finishing 20 under or better then this metric is a must for models this week.

  • Strokes gained Par 5’s – Looking back at last year’s scores, Sam Burns was first in Par 5 scoring and finished second in the tournament. Charl Schwartzel was second in Par 5 scoring and finished third. Daniel Berger was sixth in Par 5 scoring and finished sixth. K.H. Lee, who won, was eighth in Par 5 scoring. 7 of the Top-10 players on the leaderboard finished in the Top-10 in Par 5 scoring so it’s certainly worth weighting it into models this week.

TOP 20 PLAYERS IN MY MODEL

Sam Burns, Jhonattan Vegas, Jason Kokrak, Xander Schauffele, Aaron Wise, Mito Pereira, Taylor Gooch, Jordan Spieth, Keith Mitchell, Pat Perez, Justin Thomas, Will Zalatoris, Maverick McNealy, Scott Stallings, Patton Kizzire, Bubba Watson, Mark Hubbard, Luke List, Ryan Armour and Seamus Power.

TEAM REVEAL 

Although I will be entering multi entries, this is one of my lineups for the AT&T Byron Nelson contest on FanTeam.

As you can see my selections are based on players within my player pool this week.

Sam Burns – Sam Burns has been killing it on approach play as of late and ranks first in Par 5 scoring over the last 24 rounds from this field. Burns and his partner earned a 2nd placed finish at the Zurich Classic most recently, that result gives Burns his third top 9 finish in his last 5 events which includes a win at the Valspar championship. He was second here last year so it’s a course he clearly likes, so he is an easy option to start my build with.

Will Zalatoris – One of these weeks Zalatoris will be hoisting his first PGA title and it might just be this week. Zalatoris was 4th with his partner last time out at the Zurich classic and has not missed a cut all year. He now has 5 top 6 finishes in his last 8 starts including a runner-up at the Farmers Insurance Open. He was tied 17th here last year and I’d like to think he improves on that this year being a better player and having a year of experience on tour.

Jhonattan Vegas – Vegas certainly silenced his critics last week after coming back from arm surgery with a tied 15th finish at the Wells Fargo Championship. That tied 15th came thanks to gaining over 10 strokes on approach relative to the field and was his third straight top 15 performance. Vegas had a tied 10th finish here last year and gained strokes in all major categories so I’d look for him to repeat again this year. 

Maverick McNealy – A cut making machine! McNealy has gained strokes off the tee and on approach in 3 straight events and like Zalatoris it’s a case of sooner rather than later he gets that first PGA Tour win. McNealy has made 12 cuts in a row and is getting it done in a number of different ways on very different golf courses.  He will likely be popular this week but I will be on him regardless.

Keith Mitchell – Killer Keith certainly lived up to his nickname last week in missing the cut. I’m not going to put too much weight into it though with his second round 74 coming in difficult conditions when many others struggled. Before last week Mitchell had gained strokes from tee to green in each of his last 5 events and had 4 top 15 finishes in his last 5. He was tied 26th here last year and coming off that missed cut last week I’d project him to go lower owned, so let’s take advantage and jump back on the killer Keith train.

Patton Kizzire – With paying up in this lineup I’m going to need a stud underdog and Kizzire offers that. Kizzire ranks 17th in this field in par 5 scoring over the last 24 rounds. He is normally a highly volatile DFS player but that has somewhat changed this year having missed just one cut since February. He has excellent history at this course, finishing tied 9th last year, so is the perfect salary saver for teams this week.

FanTeam AT&T Byron Nelson Contests can be found by CLICKING HERE

PLAYER MATCHUPS 

What are player matchups?

Player matchups is an exciting FanTeam game that enables players to bet on between 3 and 10, designated 1 – vs – 1 fantasy matchups, with the potential to win up to 500X your stake. 

Player matchups essentially act as a fantasy football accumulator, in which the payout increases the more matchups the user bets on. The great thing with FanTeam player matchups is that you are betting against the house rather than thousands of other players. 

If you want more info on how player matchups work, please CLICK HERE.

Why do I like player matchups?

The reason I love player matchups aside from the obvious cash rewards is just the fact it’s a simple way to apply my fantasy knowledge without the need to build or manage a fantasy roster.

The simplicity of matchups means all I have to assess is how well I think certain players/teams will perform that week and just bet on the guys/teams I like, rather than managing transfers/rosters etc

AT&T BYRON NELSON PLAYER MATCHUPS

HANK LEBIODA VS PAT PEREZ

Selection: Hank Lebioda 

If you take out putting on bentgrass greens from my model then Lebioda ranks 4th in it over the last 24 rounds. He is a very up and down player for fantasy at the best of times but that seems to have changed in recent weeks having made 2 consecutive cuts. What really stood out is the tied 29th at the Mexico Open where he gained 10.4 strokes around the greens relative to the field. Mexico is a great correlation course for TPC Craig Ranch and I think Lebioda offers much more fantasy upside to Perez so for that reason he is my selection this week.

JORDAN SPIETH VS DUSTIN JOHNSON

Selection: Jordan Spieth

The narrative you’ll hear this week is Jordan Spieth in Texas! For good reason, Spieth is dominant in the state with multiple wins and top 10 finishes. This is a case of riding the train while it’s hot and Spieth is most certainly that having won the RBC Heritage last time out. That win came from a dominant performance with the irons and despite losing multiple strokes with the flat stick. DJ on the other hand had a missed cut at the RBC Heritage and is recently married, so his mind might be elsewhere at present.

AARON WISE VS JASON DAY

Selection: Aaron Wise

Aaron Wise comes here after playing excellent at the Mexico Open. Wise was tied 6th at that event and gained over 7 shots on approach relative to the field. He has 3 top 17 performances in his last 5 outings and if his game holds up I’d expect another strong fantasy performance again this week. Day on the other hand had a massive collapse at last week’s Wells Fargo championship despite leading after 2 rounds. Last week’s tied 15th was his best performance in some time, having had 3 missed cuts before it. I can see some fatigue for Day this week and with Wise taking the week off he is an easy selection for me.

A £10 player matchups bet on these 3 selections will return £60 if it should land.

The Player Matchups lobby can be found by CLICKING HERE

FANTEAM SPORTSBOOK BET

Will Zalatoris Top 5 5/1- Zalatoris could very well win this tournament this week. It really is a matter of sooner rather than later for Zalatoris for that first PGA win. In his last 2 starts he has gained strokes everywhere so there’s not much not to like. It’s the 4 foot putts that scare me when watching so while he could very well win here I would back the top 5 as I think that’s more nailed on.

A £10 bet would return £60 should it land.

Aaron Wise Top 5 10/1 – A former winner of this event albeit at a different course Wise could join Max Homa from last week in winning the same event, but on a completely different course. With 3 top 20 finishes in his last 5 Wise is definitely trending in the right direction.

A £10 bet would return £110 should it land.

The Sportsbook lobby can be found by CLICKING HERE.

I hope this article has given you plenty of food for thought – especially for those of you that know very little about Golf, but are playing in the AT&T Byron Nelson contests.

Please feel free to message me on Twitter @JackHumphreyKM if you have any questions – all support queries should go to @FanTeamOfficial.

HOW TO GET INVOLVED

If you’re new to FanTeam then you’ll need to create a new account here – alternatively, head on over to fanteam.com and click the green ‘Register’ button in the top right corner.

Existing users can click the graphic below for direct access to the game lobby.

Best of luck to everyone entering – I look forward to seeing your usernames on the Leaderboard.

About the author

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